So the proposed list of schools placed in their divisions was released from AIA. This list did not have any sectional alignments, just divisional placements.

The below is my projected sectional alignments. I took into account the previous bloc’s alignments and team histories to account for the movements.

Any team with a ** means that they will have to appeal their divisional placement. Currently, these are the following:

Kofa D2
Yuma D3
Mesquite D2
Salpointe Catholic D4
Notre Dame Prep D4
St. Mary’s Catholic D4
Palo Verde D4
Sabino D4
Santa Rita D4
Sedona Red Rock D4
Tanque Verde D4
Rock Point D5
North Pointe Prep D4
Shonto Prep D5

Mesquite will be appealing to D1. It’s simply a matter of convenience for them – they are a decent team in D1, and the remainder of Gilbert and Mesa schools are already D1, so this is a no-brainer.

Salpointe will again appeal up to D2 where that D2 S2 section will contain 9 Tucson-area teams and Nogales.

Notre Dame will again appeal up to D2. No brainer there.

Last bloc, St. Mary’s was the only school to appeal up to D1 from D4. While they may do so again, it actually makes sense for them to just go to D2. I am guessing here that they will go D2 and become one of the top 15-20 teams in that Division. BUT if Yuma and Kofa move down, it might make sense for St. Mary’s to move back up again.

Palo Verde and Sabino both appealed up from D4 to D3 due to travel times. Now with CDO, Catalina Foothills and Cholla being bumped down to D3 and Empire moving up from D4, having PV and Sabino again play in D3 makes perfect sense.

Santa Rita appealed up to D2 last bloc, but this year will probably only ask to move up to D3 due to travel. D3 S1 will become another Tucson-area dominated section with 10 teams, and that’s before adding Douglas into the mix.

Sedona Red Rock played D5 this past bloc, and I get the feeling that they were happy about being out of D4. This time they will be appealing down to D5 because they fit better competitively with the other D5 Rez schools like Hopi and Rough Rock and Sanders Valley.

Tanque Verde has absoltely no business in D4. They will appeal down based on travel times, where they will continue to play teams close by like Thatcher and Willcox.

Someone please clue me in how Rock Point, with 115 students, is being classified as D5, while Chandler Prep, with almost three times that number, is still D6? Yeah, I don’t see Rock Point moving up.

North Pointe Prep has not announced they are reinstating their program, and they probably will not unless they are allowed to move to D5.

Shonto Prep is a Freelance program, so they are a non-issue.

However, the Yuma schools are holding the key to massive appeals and realignment changes. Yuma will again appeal up to make travel times easiest for themselves. HOWEVER… will they go up to D1 or D2? That depends on what Gila Ridge does – they are competitive in D2, so do they stay or go up to D1? Cibola has been competitive in D1 recently, so they won’t be able to move down. San Luis has the option of claiming “competitiveness” to move down to D2, and Kofa is already aligned into D2, but do they want to stay or move up to D1? If Kofa decides to not appeal its divisional placing, then we’re looking at D2 Section 1 containing Gila Ridge, Kofa, Yuma, and San Luis (who will appeal DOWN based on competitiveness factor and travel times). If this is the case, look for Camelback to be moved to D2 S3, South Mountain to move to D2 S3, and general mayhem in D2.

Speaking of competitiveness, I went through the last three years of data to see which teams SHOULD move down – outside of the Yuma schools – based on that key idea. Here’s my list. This list is based on the proposed divisional alignment for 2013-2015:

Carl Hayden (D1 -> D2)
Dobson (D1 -> D2)
Westwood (D1 -> D2)
La Joya (D2 -> D3)
South Mountain (D2 -> D3)
McClintock (D2 -> D3)
Desert View (D2 -> D3)
Cortez (D3 -> D4)
Apache Junction (D3 -> D4)
Sedona Red Rock (D4 -> D5) (see above)
Tanque Verde (D4 -> D5) (ditto)
Rock Point (D5 -> D6) (ditto again)

Division 1teams = 43Division 2teams = 41Division 3teams = 42Division 4teams = 31Division 5teams = 40Division 6teams = 32
Section 1enrollment #Previous Division / SectionSection 1enrollment #Previous Division / SectionSection 1enrollment #Previous Division / SectionSection 1enrollment #Previous Division / SectionSection 1enrollment #Previous Division / SectionSection 1enrollment #Previous Division / Section
Alhambra2734Apollo1908Amphitheater1197Alchesay502Camp Verde444Arizona Charter Academy352
Carl Hayden2203Betty H. Fairfax1888Canyon del Oro1617D2 S2Blue Ridge799Greyhills Academy335Ash Fork74
Central2370Camelback1957Casa Grande1552Chinle1001Hopi433Fredonia70
Cesar Chavez2387D2 S1Centennial2128Catalina1180Ganado532Many Farms434Joseph City137
Cibola2585Copper Canyon1817D3 S2Catalina Foothills1657D2 S2Holbrook744Pinon427Mayer185
Kofa2128**Deer Valley1911Cholla1611D2 S2Monument Valley754Red Mesa186Mogollon143
Maryvale2733Gila Ridge1823Douglas1305Page900Rough Rock191Rock Point115**
Millennium2153D2 S1Independence1952Empire1288D4 S2Show Low823Round Valley402
North2530Ironwood1996Flowing Wells1665D2 S2Snowflake710Sanders Valley273Section 2
San Luis2708La Joya1805Higley1636Tuba City725Sedona Red Rock500**
Tolleson2223Lake Havasu1936Maricopa1575Window Rock666St. Johns295ASDB97
Trevor Browne3010Liberty1967D3 S2Palo Verde939**Winslow739Williams218Cibecue74
Valley Vista2395Raymond S. Kellis1878Sabino1098**Duncan126
Westview2624South Mountain1758Santa Rita961**Section 2Section 2Ft. Thomas120
Yuma1466**Willow Canyon2066Williams Field1518Hayden81
Combs1110Antelope292Mesa Prep173
Section 2Section 2Section 2Coolidge740Arizona Lutheran182Patagonia70
Canyon State Academy604D5 S2Bourgade Catholic387Pima197
Basha2494Campo Verde1995D3 S1Buckeye1237D4 S3Florence735Northwest Christian405Ray191
Buena2223Cienega1862Cactus1397Globe522Phoenix Christian217San Simon / Bowie56
Chandler3167Desert View2046Coconino1446Imagine Prep (Coolidge)540CAAJoy Christian183D6 S3St. David133
Corona del Sol2665Ironwood Ridge2025Cortez1189D4 S3Rio Rico1082Paradise Honors299D6 S3Superior116
Desert Ridge2612Marana2014Dysart1675Safford837San Tan Foothills446Tohono O'Odham107
Dobson2763Marana Mt. View1819Flagstaff1521Seton Catholic576Scottsdale Christian284Valley Union126
Gilbert2548Nogales1733D3 S1Glendale1673Walden Grove856Scottsdale Prep259D6 S3
Hamilton3652Poston Butte1762D3 S1Greenway1561Sahuarita1027D3 S1Sequoia Charter345Section 3
Highland2984Pueblo1694Mingus1244D4 S3Tempe Prep250
Mesquite2004**Queen Creek1712D3 S1Mohave1384Section 3Tonopah Valley384Ajo122
Perry2534D2 S3Rincon/University1998Peoria1624Valley Christian262Bagdad118
Skyline2576Sahuaro1861Shadow Ridge1279Chino Valley774Yuma Catholic270Chandler Prep332
Sunnyside2318Salpointe Catholic1094**Sunrise Mountain1580Estrella Foothills1008Gila Bend131
Tucson3162Verrado1617Fountain Hills679Section 3Gilbert Christian148
Lee Williams1010NEWPDSD86
Section 3Section 3Section 3Parker522Baboquivari229Rancho Solano Prep90
Boulder Creek2454Arcadia1716D3 S3Agua Fria1669River Valley761Bisbee360Salt River170
Brophy2572Barry Goldwater1941Apache Junction1427Wickenburg740Miami316Valley Lutheran165
Desert Mountain2297Cactus Shadows1731Bradshaw Mountain1688D2 S3Morenci401Veritas Prep257
Desert Vista3074Chaparral2125Coronado1230D4 S2Pusch Ridge Christian307
Horizon2196D2 S3Kingman1810Desert Edge1588San Carlos321
Mesa3307Marcos de Niza1730Moon Valley1472San Manuel331No Sectional listed
Mesa Mt. View3235McClintock1873Prescott1667D2 S3Santa Cruz367
Mountain Pointe2565Notre Dame Prep866**Saguaro1346Tanque Verde452**North Pointe Prep (F)521canceled program
Mountain Ridge2256Paradise Valley1776D3 S3Shadow Mountain1571D2 S3Thatcher426Shonto Prep (F)82Freelance
North Canyon2180St. Mary's Catholic504**Sierra Linda1673Tombstone392San Pasqual152canceled program
Pinnacle2543Sunnyslope1987Tempe1405Willcox366Seligman61canceled program
Red Mountain3360Vista Grande1782D3 S1Thunderbird1503
Sandra Day O'Connor2598Washington1764D3 S3Youngker1535

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